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UFC FIGHT NIGHT 112: LEE VS CHIESA | MMA Betting Tips & Predictions

UFC Fight Night 112 looks to be another quality Fight Pass card with good name value and great match ups taking place this Friday night at the Chesapeake Energy Arena, Oklahoma providing us with some much needed entertainment before the highly anticipated pay per view UFC 213 the following week.

This fight card looks to be have some real promise as far as betting goes and we look to give some of the best MMA tips once we have reviewed our tape. Immediately there are some interesting fights that catch my attention and I will be paying close attention when the odds are released throughout the week to give you the best tips.

Michael Chiesa vs Kevin Lee MMA Betting Tips & Fight Predictions

A match up that I was initially indifferent to has now drawn interest through some classic pre-fight trash talk at the UFC 2017 press conference. Both Kevin Lee and Micheal Chiesa are rising prospects in an already stacked 155 pound division and look to cement themselves in the lower half of the top 10 in this match up. Kevin Lee is currently ranked #12 with a 4 fight winning streak whereas Michael Chiesa is ranked #7 on a 3 fight winning streak.

Michael Chiesa keys to victory

Michael Chiesa is a truly gigantic lightweight standing 6 foot 1 with a 73 inch reach and a large frame on top of that. He looks to utilise his durability and size to wear on his opponents and eventually transition to a dominant position and close the show with his grappling, 10 of his 14 professional wins coming by way of submission. Chiesa has never taken massive strides of improvement in his striking though he looks to be working on it consistently. In his most recent win against the very skilled Beneil Dariush his front leg was eaten up with leg kicks and his face marked by counter left straights early on. However his durability and arguably a less than perfect game plan implemented by Dariush ensured the match up played out often on the ground resulting in the much bigger Chiesa wearing down Beneil on route to a slick rear naked choke. in the 3rd.

  • Very tough and durable fighter.
  • Huge for the weight class.
  • Very strong grappler.
  • Determined fighter with a will to win.
  • Stiff, robotic and poor striking.
  • Porous defence, chin is open to be hit.
  • Whilst a good grappler Chiesa can be too comfortable in compromising positions.
  • Fights extremely emotional which is likely to be the case against Kevin Lee.
  • Overextends himself when striking in combinations.

Kevin Lee keys to victory

Kevin Lee is athletic wrestle based boxer with NCAA credentials riding a four fight win streak with his last three wins by way of stoppage over respectable opponents Jake Matthews, Magomed Mustafaev & Francisco Trinaldo. Very similar to Chiesa in his UFC career Kevin Lee has suffered just two set backs so far in a competitive decision loss to Al Laquinta in his UFC debut and a shock knockout loss to the Brazilian Leonardo Santos. Lee really does a good job of fighting to his strengths setting up clean straight punches on the feet and threatening often with takedowns where he advances to the back looking to finish with a choke.

  • Clean and accurate boxing.
  • Good athlete.
  • Strong wrestling base with good takedowns and effective grappling.
  • Mixes in strikes to takedowns well.
  • Explosive style that can lead to tiring early.
  • Not especially durable with a tendency to be hurt on the feet.
  • Fights emotionally much like Chiesa.
  • Overconfidence in his stand up.

Conclusion

Pending tape study.

Tim Boetsch vs Jonny Hendricks MMA Betting Tips & Fight Predictions

The fight I am most looking forward to on this card as I’ve had a strong lean early on the outcome. Jonny Hendricks second fight at 185 pounds after an impressive performance against Hector Lombard will really test his place in the middleweight realm as he takes on a very real sized middleweight and former light heavyweight Tim Boetsch. Whilst Hendricks is certainly accomplished in the sport being a former welterweight champion he had taken a notable downturn in his career in recent years falling victim to back to back losses before taking the shocking, albeit necessary, move to middleweight following two failed weight cuts at welterweight. Boetsch on the other hand has dabbled between light heavy weight and middleweight during his career and seems to have settled once again at 185 pounds. He looks to get back to his winning ways after a two fight TKO streak over John Samman and Raphael Natal crashed to a halt when he faced elite BJJ specialist Jacare Souza.

Tim Boetsch keys to victory

Tim Boetsch is a strong hulking middleweight who truly lives up to his moniker The Barbarian. He is most famous for causing Joe Rogan to almost have an aneurism whilst reacting to his epic come from behind victory against Yushin Okami as well as his sheer strength within the octagon. As noted a former light heavyweight who had some success outside the octagon but proved to have a home in the UFC’s middleweight roster. With victories over Okami, C.B. Dolloway, Brad Tavares & Raphael Natal as well as losses against Phil Davies, Luke Rockhold and Dan Henderson he has a tremendous amount of experience in the octagon often against bigger men which he should look to implement in his fight against Hendricks.

Boetsch is a temperamental fighter who can has very off and on performances in the octagon, fuelled by his emotions which can see him rally for a come from behind victory as seen against Okami, or freeze his striking output when daunted with the killer that is Jacare Souza. An awkward stand up fighter who uses side to side head movement Boetsch sets up his powerful looping hooks countering over the top of his opponents punches. He has a strong front body kick which he used to great effect against a common opponent in Hector Lombard as well as a strong uppercut that he shoots from unique angles.

  • Very heavy handed.
  • Strong division 1 NCAA wrestling base .
  • Underrated head movement.
  • Extremely durable with a good chin
  • Big middleweight especially compared to Hendricks.
  • Very inconsistent in his performances.
  • Suffered a lot of damage in his career.
  • Doesn’t show his wrestling pedigree often enough.
  • Not enough urgency with his stand up at times.

Jonny Hendricks keys to victory

Jonny Hendricks is another fighter who just cannot count on for consistency. Once upon a time he was laying waste to the welterweight division and flat lining his opponents with one punch en route to winning the welterweight strap against Robbie Lawler. Though his time as champion was short lived having never defended the title and relinquishing his title in the rematch to Lawler. Following this fight he picked up a victory over Matt Brown before dropping three straight losses to Stephen Thompson, Kelvin Gastelum & Neil Magny. His move to middleweight was absolutely necessary in my opinion for the sake of his health however its still to be decided how much success he will have against the bigger fighters. His first middleweight outing against Hector Lombard who was also coming up from welterweight unfortunately proved nothing

  • Very powerful hands and kicks.
  • Strong division 1 NCAA wrestling base .
  • Very durable fighter with an excellent chin.
  • Very difficult to control on the feet or on the ground.
  • Imposes his will on fighters.
  • Undersized at middleweight.
  • Been through several wars, notably both fights with Robbie Lawler.
  • Lack of striking diversity.
  • Tendency to gas later in fights.

Conclusion

I see Hendricks looking for the takedown after setting his strikes up on the feet and having difficulty controlling Boetsch with his powerful and physical fighting style. Look for Boetsch to use his constant head movement whilst pawing with his hands and throwing out his front kick on the smaller Hendricks, no doubt he will get clipped with some big shots from Hendricks early in the fight which will test The Barbarians durability. However I see Boetsch shaking off the take down attempts as the fight progresses and Hendricks conditioning diminishes as he fights to keep up with the bigger man. Boetsch begins to land powerful hooks and eventually being to push back Hendricks on route to a unanimous decision.

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